Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.347264 0.411777 0.483798 0.569997 0.670187 0.782792 0.918763
2025-01-26 0.260169 0.346045 0.452192 0.592320 0.771635 0.992516 1.284226
2025-02-02 0.228362 0.329905 0.464876 0.655786 0.916948 1.259491 1.740155
2025-02-09 0.194863 0.301950 0.453272 0.679989 1.007697 1.460140 2.126972
2025-02-16 0.161572 0.266822 0.423995 0.671925 1.048236 1.591749 2.427892
2025-02-23 0.132514 0.232248 0.389026 0.648358 1.059950 1.679247 2.669513
2025-03-02 0.108386 0.201004 0.353826 0.618120 1.055387 1.738668 2.870728
2025-03-09 0.098135 0.191175 0.351278 0.638979 1.132189 1.928051 3.286806
2025-03-16 0.082642 0.169372 0.325189 0.616345 1.133774 1.996180 3.513516
2025-03-23 0.074981 0.160747 0.320810 0.630333 1.197958 2.170981 3.928030
2025-03-30 0.068009 0.152279 0.315411 0.641389 1.257325 2.341615 4.348170
2025-04-06 0.059834 0.140016 0.301078 0.633702 1.281245 2.451730 4.671037
2025-04-13 0.052821 0.129396 0.289195 0.630575 1.315761 2.588059 5.060492
2025-04-20 0.049229 0.125755 0.291106 0.655354 1.406834 2.836335 5.676053
2025-04-27 0.049757 0.131618 0.313674 0.725016 1.593077 3.277328 6.683746
2025-05-04 0.046639 0.128284 0.315799 0.751566 1.694467 3.564218 7.421143
2025-05-11 0.041332 0.118621 0.302424 0.742720 1.721341 3.707623 7.891917
2025-05-18 0.035640 0.106905 0.282610 0.716867 1.708989 3.771105 8.208998
2025-05-25 0.030316 0.095128 0.260884 0.683685 1.676720 3.790404 8.437281
2025-06-01 0.028612 0.093067 0.262771 0.706575 1.771866 4.082009 9.246089
2025-06-08 0.024781 0.084143 0.245936 0.681736 1.755004 4.133985 9.556746
2025-06-15 0.023181 0.081559 0.245276 0.697088 1.833386 4.397442 10.335503
2025-06-22 0.021586 0.078693 0.243458 0.709220 1.905128 4.651514 11.111612